Navigating the Maze: Canada, Rules of Origin and the Trans-Pacific PartnershipSeptember 29th, 2016
About this chapter
Andrew (Sandy) Moroz joined Global Affairs Canada in 1987, and he worked in the Trade Policy Branch from 1989 until his retirement in 2013. He was Canada’s co-lead market access negotiator for the Canada-EU Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) and, until June 2013, for the TransPacific Partnership agreement. Before joining the federal government he worked at the Economic Council of Canada, from 1977 to 1979, and at the Institute for Research on Public Policy — in its International Economics Program — from 1980 to 1987. He has a bachelor’s in economics (hons.) from the University of Waterloo and a master’s in economics from Carleton University.
Redesigning Canadian Trade Policies for New Global Realities, edited by Stephen Tapp, Ari Van Assche and Robert Wolfe, will be the sixth volume of The Art of the State. Thirty leading academics, government researchers, practitioners and stakeholders, from Canada and abroad, analyze how changes in global commerce, technology, and economic and geopolitical power are affecting Canada and its policy.
Preferential rules of origin play an essential role in regional trade agreements (RTAs) because they are used to determine whether a good is “originating” and, hence, eligible for tariff preferences under such agreements.1 Rules of origin define how much production of a good must occur in an RTA area, which inputs must also be made in that area (and how much production these inputs must undergo in the area) and which inputs can be imported from outside the area. Accordingly, producers, in complying with rules of origin — and customs officials, in verifying if the rules have been satisfied — face a technical minefield, particularly for products involving multiple stages of production.
These challenges have increased in recent years as result of two developments. The first has been the unbundling of production processes and the emergence of regional and global supply chains that can involve numerous countries along the production chain (see Van Assche, De Backer and Miroudot, and Koldyk, Quinn and Evans, in this volume). And determining whether a good is originating can be even more challenging when international supply chains include production from countries, such as China, that are outside many of these RTAs.
The second development is the proliferation of RTAs themselves. Regional and global supply chains have allowed for a more efficient allocation of resources and production, but the number of active RTAs — up from around 40 in the early 1990s to 267 as of June 2016 — has led to an increasingly splintered international trading system (Wolfe, in this volume; World Trade Organization 2015, 2016a,b). Many countries belong to many RTAs, each with its own set of rules of origin. Canada alone is a member of 11 active RTAs, with another 11 under negotiation or recently concluded but not yet implemented. The 12 parties to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) are involved in 32 active RTAs that include at least two TPP signatories, each with its own set of rules of origin (see the appendix).
On the surface, having more RTAs seems to offer more economic opportunities, especially for a small, open economy such as Canada’s. But the differing and sometimes conflicting provisions of RTAs confront firms with an “untamed tangle of multiple overlapping agreements” (Baldwin and Low 2009, 2). Given a “spaghetti bowl” of trade rules (Bhagwati 1995), firms can face major challenges and costs in trying to take advantage of all the opportunities RTAs offer. Nowhere is this problem more evident than in the complicated maze of rules of origin across RTAs. In trying to navigate this maze, firms can be discouraged from using the most competitive suppliers and supply chains, and may even find themselves having to choose between RTAs.
This chapter examines the challenges and opportunities of negotiating rules of origin in a world of proliferating RTAs and regional and global supply chains by looking at the TPP from two perspectives: first, the broader implications of the TPP weaving together the different sets of rules in the 32 RTAs involving TPP parties into a single, common set of rules with full cumulation; and second the resulting implications for Canada. It also illustrates how supply chains influence negotiations on rules of origin by focusing on two sectors: textiles and apparel, and automotive goods. Although the TPP’s more liberal auto rules, compared with those under NAFTA, have sparked controversy in Canada, I argue that the Canadian auto sector faces much larger challenges that could be exacerbated if Canada were to stay out of the TPP.
Rules of Origin
Preferential rules of origin define how much production must occur in, and which inputs must be sourced from within, the territory of the parties to an RTA for a good to be considered as “originating” and, hence, eligible for tariff preferences. The three main ways of expressing the required amount of production and sourcing are: (1) a tariff-shift rule that requires a change in tariff classification of imported nonoriginating inputs; (2) a regional value-content rule that stipulates the percentage of value added that must occur within the territory of the RTA partners; and (3) a processing requirement that specifies which production processes must be undertake within the RTA territory (Abreu 2013; Brenton 2010; and Moroz 2016).
Ostensibly, rules of origin exist to ensure that the tariff preferences in an RTA are accorded only to goods made in the participating countries (they benefit only producers in these countries and prevent free riders). They also prevent the trans-shipment of goods from nonsignatory countries through lower-tariff RTA countries while the goods are en route to a higher-tariff country. Often, however, rules of origin are used as a protective device, intended to stifle the use of tariff preferences or to divert input trade by reshaping sourcing patterns and supply chains for the firms that wish to use these preferences. In other words, rules of origin can introduce their own distortions that reduce the economic gains from RTAs. How, and to what extent, preferential trade is affected and economic decisions are distorted relate to three critical aspects of rules of origin.
Restrictive versus liberal
The first critical aspect of rules of origin is their degree of restrictiveness. A liberal rule may require only that final processing or assembly occur within the RTA territory. For example, a washing machine might need only to be assembled within the RTA, while all subassemblies and parts can be imported from outside the region. In contrast, a restrictive rule of origin might require not only that the final production be done in the RTA territory, but also that many, if not all, of the key parts (and even the inputs going into these parts) must originate within the RTA.2 A well-known restrictive rule is the yarn-forward, or triple transformation, rule for apparel found in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA): to qualify for tariff preferences, not only must the apparel item be cut, sewn and finished within the NAFTA zone, but both the yarn and the fabric made from that yarn must also originate within that zone.
The degree of restrictiveness can vary significantly, and often reflects the size and structure of the RTA parties. In general, larger economies, such as the United States or the European Union, prefer more restrictive rules of origin. The input producers in these vertically integrated economies often exert political pressure for restrictive rules, either to capture the benefits under the RTA by requiring their inputs be used if producers in the RTA area want to enjoy the tariff preferences, or to preclude preferential access for final goods made from inputs sourced from competitors in third countries (Chase 2008; Duttagupta and Panagariya 2007). Smaller economies, in contrast, generally prefer more liberal rules since many of their industries rely more heavily on imports of key inputs. One consequence is that smaller economies like Canada can face major challenges when negotiating RTAs with large economies, as the latter can leverage the offer of preferential access to their markets in order to impose more restrictive rules of origin.
A second critical aspect of rules of origin is the concept of cumulation, whereby an input produced in the territory of one member of an RTA (that meets that RTA’s rules of origin) can not only can be exported under tariff preferences to another member, but it can also be used as an originating input to produce another originating good in that member’s territory. If that second good meets its own rules of origin (including as a result of using the imported originating input), then it is also eligible both for tariff preferences and, if it is also an input, to be used as an originating input in the production of a third good. For example, under NAFTA, if yarn made in the United States meets its rule of origin, it can be exported duty-free to Mexico to be used to produce originating fabric. That fabric then can be shipped duty-free to Canada to be cut, sewn and finished into an originating apparel item that can be exported duty-free to Mexico or the United States. This concept of cumulation might seem to be obvious, but, as discussed below, it is crucial for Canada’s economic interests and for the “weaving together” role played by the TPP.
A related concept is cross-cumulation, or diagonal cumulation, between separate RTAs. For example, Canada has included in its post-NAFTA trade agreements a provision whereby, if Canada and an RTA partner each has a separate RTA with the same third party, and if all three parties agree, inputs from any of the three parties can be treated as originating materials under the three agreements. Cross-cumulation can be sector-specific — for example, Canada has been able to incorporate cross-cumulation in a few sectors, such as motor vehicles, in some of its RTAs — or comprehensive in being applicable to all goods covered by an RTA. Comprehensive cross-cumulation, however, raises significant administrative and verification challenges, and some trading partners could be reluctant to share the three-way economic space. To date, the comprehensive cross-cumulation provision has not been activated in any of Canada’s RTAs. The European Union, however, is using its economic influence to push for diagonal cumulation, which involves harmonizing rules of origin across agreements, with its RTA partners in Europe, the Middle East and North Africa under its Regional Convention on pan-Euro-Mediterranean preferential rules of origin (European Commission, n.d., World Customs Organization, n.d.).
Firms face two sets of costs to comply with rules of origin: administrative costs and distortionary costs, both of which can involve fixed and variable components.
Starting with administrative costs, firms must first learn the rules of each RTA. They then need to comply with the certification, recordkeeping and other administrative requirements to demonstrate that their goods meet these rules (should they be audited by customs authorities). Estimates of these administrative compliance costs range from 1 to 8 percent of the value of the shipments (Abreu 2013; Brenton 2010; Cadot and de Melo 2008; Kunimoto and Sawchuk 2005).3 Importers also face the risk of having to pay duties, and potentially fines, if their goods are later found by customs authorities not to comply with the rules.
The second set of costs is incurred because of the distortions that can result from trade diversion of inputs in favour of the RTA partners, which in turn reduces the welfare gains of an RTA. These distortionary costs arise because firms might need to change their production structures or switch to higher-cost suppliers inside the RTA territory from lower-costs suppliers outside that territory in order to comply with the rules of origin.
At the end of the day, firms likely will choose to forgo taking advantage of RTA tariff preferences if compliance costs outweigh the benefits of tariff savings. For example, small and medium-sized enterprises are less likely than larger firms to take advantage of tariff preferences because they might lack the resources necessary to demonstrate compliance or to bear the additional costs of switching suppliers to satisfy the rules. Given the fixed costs associated with complying with rules of origin, such firms also face disproportionately higher costs per shipment due to their lower export values or volumes (Keck and Lendle 2012). Factors other than firm size that affect the use of tariff preferences include the level of the tariff (and hence the margin of the preference), the value or volume of shipments and the restrictiveness or complexity of the rules (Abreu 2013; Brenton 2010; Estevadeordal and Suominen 2008; Keck and Lendle 2012; World Trade Organization 2011).
Furthermore, in a world of multiple, overlapping RTAs, firms might need to choose between RTAs for two reasons. First, firms face the additional administrative costs associated with complying with more than one set of rules of origin. Second, firms might incur significant additional production costs, such as those related to shorter production runs and separate input inventories, if they try to satisfy simultaneously the input-sourcing requirements of different RTAs. If these additional administrative and production costs of complying with multiple rules are greater than the combined benefits of capturing the multiple tariff preferences on offer, firms will choose which RTAs to take advantage of and which to ignore. This issue is a particular challenge for smaller countries such as Canada in negotiating rules of origin with several larger countries.
The TPP Rules of Origin
Implications of weaving rules together
The TPP rules of origin would play the same role and be largely administered and enforced the same way as the rules in most other RTAs (including existing RTAs involving TPP parties). As is often the case, reaching agreement on the TPP rules involved difficult negotiations in certain sectors, such as textiles and apparel and — especially controversial in Canada and its NAFTA partners — automotive goods.
But the TPP rules of origin would also play a more modern and crucial role. Not only would the TPP create a much larger combined goods market for producers in the 12 signatory countries; it would also allow these producers to use one common set of rules of origin, with full (or 100 percent) cumulation. In the absence of the TPP, these producers would continue to face a disjointed web of rules in the 32 RTAs involving at least two TPP parties. For example, Canada has RTAs with Chile and Peru, and belongs to NAFTA with Mexico and the United States. The United States is in NAFTA and has separate RTAs with Australia, Chile, Peru and Singapore. The second largest TPP member, Japan, has RTAs with all TPP parties, except Canada, New Zealand and the United States, and so on.
Since each TPP party entered the negotiations with its own existing sets of rules of origin with various other TPP countries, and hence its interests and preferences regarding the rules, the TPP rules negotiation involved, in effect, the weaving together of 32 different sets of rules into one common set with full cumulation. What this weaving together means, to use Canada as an example, is that, instead of dealing with the different rules in three separate RTAs when exporting to four of its current RTA partners, an implemented TPP would allow Canadian producers to use just one set of rules when exporting to any of the 11 other TPP partners. Consequently, producers in TPP member countries could achieve significant compliance savings in two ways. First, they would have to deal with only one common set of administrative requirements. Second, since all firms would face the same the rule for each product, and since the TPP provides full cumulation, firms would be able to source originating inputs from any of the other TPP parties, thereby offering potential savings from lower-priced or higher-quality inputs.
As a general matter, the TPP could be expected to reduce any diversion of trade in final goods between TPP signatories arising from the existing fragmented web of RTAs involving the 12 TPP parties by merging these individual markets into one large free trade area. The TPP should also help reduce any trade diversion in inputs that results from firms switching to less competitive suppliers in order to comply with various sets of rules of origin within this fragmented web of RTAs. By establishing a common set of rules of origin with full cumulation, the TPP would allow producers to source from the most competitive suppliers within the free trade area that can satisfy the TPP rules, thereby allowing a relatively more efficient allocation of resources within the combined territory of the 12 members. Moreover, trade diversion of inputs produced outside the TPP region, at least in the case of secondary inputs, could also be reduced if the TPP rules prove to be more liberal than those found in existing RTAs involving TPP signatories.
The TPP outcome, however, is mixed.4 For the vast majority of agricultural products, the TPP rules of origin are either as restrictive as, or more restrictive than, the rules found in most of the RTAs between TPP signatories, including NAFTA. In particular, the TPP rules for many processed fruit, vegetable, meat and fish products are more restrictive than the rules found in many of RTAs involving the TPP parties. They either do not allow for these products the use of any fish, cattle, poultry, fruit or vegetables harvested, slaughtered or grown outside the TPP territory, or limit the use of such inputs from non-TPP sources.5 It appears that TPP negotiators chose to resolve difficulties by accommodating the parties’ agricultural sensitivities by going with the most restrictive rule found in any of the RTAs involving TPP signatories.
Turning to nonagricultural goods, other than automotive goods and textiles and apparel (discussed below), the TPP rules of origin are generally more liberal than those in NAFTA and either similar to or more liberal than those in most of the other RTAs involving TPP signatories in the western hemisphere (including many of their agreements with Asian TPP parties). The TPP rules for nonagricultural goods are similar to the rules found in the RTAs solely between Asian TPP signatories and a few of their agreements with TPP members in the western hemisphere (such as the Chile-Malaysia Free Trade Agreement), with the exception of various mineral, chemical, plastic, rubber and footwear products where the TPP rules are somewhat more restrictive.6
What are the implications of these differences between the rules of origin in the TPP and the existing RTAs involving TPP signatories? Where the TPP rules of origin are more restrictive, producers that wish to enjoy the TPP’s tariff preferences might need to divert their sourcing of inputs from non-TPP countries, including from existing RTA partners outside the TPP, to suppliers in TPP countries. This, however, could raise their costs and erode the overall benefits of the TPP. Moreover, producers that cannot comply simultaneously with two sets of rules might have to forgo the tariff preferences available under other RTAs if they want to take advantage of the TPP preferences. One factor that might mitigate this erosion of TPP benefits to some extent is that firms would be able to source their inputs from the TPP’s wider group of countries. In the case of the tighter agricultural rules of origin, for example, a number of TPP signatories are globally competitive producers of key inputs for processed fruit, vegetable, fish and meat products. At the same time, on the expectation that the existing RTAs between TPP signatories would continue to function alongside the TPP, producers could, for the affected goods, continue to use the more liberal rules under these RTAs for their existing preferential trade with other TPP parties (although this might require them to dual-source certain inputs if they also want to exploit the new market opportunities offered by the TPP).
For goods subject to more liberal rules of origin under the TPP — as is the case for many nonagricultural goods — the TPP offers producers wider scope to reduce their costs. Although the TPP rules would still require many major components and subassemblies to be made in the TPP region, producers in TPP countries would have greater opportunities to source inputs used to make these components and sub-assemblies from competitive suppliers from outside the TPP zone, including regional or global value chains involving countries outside the TPP area. This opportunity could result in less trade diversion in inputs from outside the TPP area for inputs used in the earlier stages of production, thereby contributing to the TPP’s economic efficiency gains.
Implications for Canada
With its parties accounting for nearly 40 percent of global GDP, the TPP offers Canada both challenges and opportunities. In the case of goods, if the TPP is -implemented, the phaseout of tariffs on the vast majority of products traded among the 12 TPP members would further erode Canada’s existing preferential access to the United States — the largest TPP member and by far Canada’s largest trading partner. But this erosion would be tempered by the fact that the United States already has RTAs with five other TPP members — namely Australia, Chile, Mexico, Peru and Singapore. Consequently, Canada would face new preferential competition in the US market only from Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Vietnam and Brunei Darussalam. On the other hand, Canadian producers would gain new preferential access to those TPP countries with which it currently does not have an RTA — namely, Japan (the largest prize for Canada), Australia, New Zealand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Singapore and Brunei Darussalam. Canadian producers would, of course, face competition under the same preferences in these seven markets from other TPP countries. But a number of TPP countries already have RTAs with these seven Asian countries, so the TPP, in effect, would level the playing field for Canadian producers in these markets. Canadian consumers would also stand to benefit from lower prices and increased choice.
As a result of NAFTA and its predecessor, the Canada-US FTA — and in the case of the auto sector, the 1965 Canada-US Auto Pact — many Canadian firms and industries rely heavily on the United States both as a source of their key inputs and a market for their outputs (including goods supplied as inputs to US producers). This dual dependence on the United States has clearly influenced Canada’s approach to negotiating rules of origin in its subsequent RTAs (Moroz 2016). Canada entered the TPP negotiations on rules of origin in a relatively strong position, since many of its producers are already integrated into North American supply chains under NAFTA.
With the implementation of the TPP, Canadian producers could gain in three ways: (1) from preferential access to the seven Asian TPP signatories; (2) from new opportunities to supply TPP-originating inputs to firms in other TPP member countries — particularly the United States — that, in turn, export to other TPP members;7 and (3) from the ability to source duty-free originating inputs from a broader range of countries to produce goods for duty-free export to Canada’s existing RTA partners in the TPP (the United States, Mexico, Chile and Peru), as well as to the other TPP members.8
In short, the TPP could allow Canadian producers to build on their North American supply chains established under NAFTA, while offering them access to both a larger, combined preferential market and more options to source originating inputs (and for many nonagricultural goods, wider scope to source secondary inputs from more competitive suppliers outside the TPP zone).
TPP Rules of Origin in a Supply Chain World
If the restrictive rules of origin for many nonagricultural goods in NAFTA were included at the behest of the United States, then why did that country accept significantly more liberal rules for most of these goods over two decades later in the TPP? The reason is that many US companies are at the vanguard of forging and using regional and global supply chains. The influence of such supply chains on the TPP rules of origin, however, was a two-way street, as demonstrated by the difficult and controversial negotiations on the rules for automotive goods and textiles and apparel, which pitted supply chains in North America and Asia against one another.
Textiles and apparel: Vietnam versus the United States, Mexico and Peru
Sourcing of inputs for apparel and other textile items has been controversial for more than two centuries (Beckert 2014). So it was no surprise that textiles and apparel were one of the most controversial areas in the TPP rules of origin negotiations.
Apparel is one of Vietnam’s main exports, accounting for about 30 percent of its exports to the United States, making preferential access to the US market a Vietnamese priority. Vietnam’s main source of fabrics is China, followed by South Korea and Taiwan. These fabrics, in turn, are made primarily from yarns sourced largely from various Asian countries. The US negotiators, however, faced considerable domestic pressure, as in previous RTA negotiations, from the US textiles industry to maintain the yarn-forward rule that was first introduced in NAFTA. The US industry’s goal was twofold: to maintain its central role in the supply chain established under existing RTAs with various Central and South American countries; and to prevent apparel and other final textile items made in TPP countries from yarns and fabrics produced outside the TPP region from enjoying US tariff preferences under the TPP — which would be significant given the high US most-favoured-nation tariffs on many of these items. Mexico and Peru supported the US position because their industries have become integrated with the US industry under their respective RTAs with the United States, creating a supply chain where yarns and fabrics are sourced from the United States to produce final items that subsequently are shipped back under tariff preferences to the United States. An additional, longer-term motive of the US industry might also have been a desire to play a larger role in investment in yarn and fabric production capacity in Vietnam and other Asian TPP countries.
Despite opposition from the US retail sector and from Vietnam and a number of other TPP countries, the TPP incorporates the US yarn-forward rule of origin for textiles and apparel, with two elements of limited flexibility. First, a “short supply list” identifies those fibres, yarns and fabrics that were considered not to be commercially available within the TPP region, and hence would not have to be originating when used in the production of apparel and other textile items by producers seeking TPP tariff preferences for these items. In many cases, the ability to use these nonoriginating textiles would be restricted to the production of certain products. Second, a special derogation for Vietnam would allow it to use nonoriginating cotton fabrics to produce cotton pants eligible for US tariff preferences, but the annual allowable volume under this derogation would be capped and linked to Vietnam’s purchases of US-originating cotton fabrics.
Most of the RTAs involving the western hemispheric TPP countries, including those with Asian TPP signatories, also have the yarn-forward rule of origin. But three of these agreements — namely the NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA and the Chile-US FTA — also provide derogations that allow a limited quantity of fabric or apparel made from nonoriginating yarns or fabrics to benefit each year from tariff preferences if it meets a processing requirement.9 Unlike the US derogation for Vietnam in the TPP, these annual quantities are not linked to offsetting purchases from the importing country offering the preferences. Since the TPP does not include such derogations, its rules on textiles and apparel are effectively more restrictive than those found in these three agreements for those products not made from fibres, yarns and fabrics on the TPP’s “short supply list.” However, producers in these countries should be able to continue to use the textile and apparel derogations provided under their existing RTAs with the United States. At the same time, the TPP textile and apparel rules of origin are significantly more restrictive than those found in RTAs solely between the Asian TPP parties.
Since Vietnam and the other Asian TPP countries currently have limited yarn and fabric production, they will need to rely largely on US sources and the limited TPP flexibilities, at least in the short to medium term, to take advantage of TPP tariff preferences, particularly into the large US market. Whether the TPP will encourage investment in yarn and fabric facilities in these countries is an open question, although there is some evidence that firms are starting to do so in Vietnam in anticipation of the implementation of the TPP (Cory 2015). That the United States’ intent was to preserve its existing textile supply chain is evident from the US Trade Representative’s summary of the TPP textiles and apparel chapter, which states: “The yarn-forward approach also will help to develop a regionally-integrated supply chain that will promote long-term growth and investment in this sector in the United States” (United States 2016b).
Automotive goods: Canada and Mexico versus the United States and Japan
The controversial TPP negotiations on automotive rules of origin pitted the North American supply chain established under NAFTA against the Asian supply chain established by Japanese companies, which includes parts suppliers in China and Thailand. The result of these negotiations is TPP auto rules that are more liberal than those in NAFTA and that effectively would allow Japanese auto producers to maintain their existing Asian-based supply chains. That the United States was prepared to accommodate Japan’s interests likely reflects both the US desire to advance its own export interests in the Japanese market in other sectors — such as agriculture — and the interests of the increasing globalized US-owned vehicle and major parts companies. Only after Canada and Mexico raised major concerns over this last-minute proposal by Japan and the United States were the TPP auto rules tightened by increasing the regional value-content thresholds for various automotive products and placing more limits on additional flexibilities sought by Japan. But the result is still controversial in Canada.
Automobile rules of origin in the TPP
As Canada’s largest manufacturing sector, the auto industry has always posed a special challenge for Canada in rules-of-origin negotiations. As a result of the 1965 Auto Pact and the two free trade agreements (FTAs) with the United States, the Canadian auto sector is heavily integrated with that of the United States. Approximately 85 percent of motor vehicles and 50 percent of the value of parts produced in Canada are exported, overwhelmingly to the United States. Meanwhile, most cars sold in Canada are imported, mainly from the United States, but also from Europe, Japan and South Korea. At the same time, a major portion of the parts — ranging from small parts to major vehicle subassemblies — used in the assembly of vehicles in Canada come from the United States.
This heavy dependence on the United States as both its main market and its major supplier has required Canada to be creative and adaptive in negotiating auto rules of origin. A number of Canada’s post-NAFTA RTAs, such as those with Chile and Costa Rica, include very liberal rules of origin for motor vehicles compared with those in NAFTA. Canada’s agreements with Peru, Colombia, Panama and South Korea allow auto parts made in the United States to count as originating content if they meet a certain requirement, even though the United States is not a member of these RTAs.10 In the negotiations on the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), the EU insisted on including a restrictive auto rule of origin that precludes passenger cars made largely from US parts from qualifying for EU tariff preferences. Canada was able, however, to negotiate a derogation from this restrictive rule that allows up to 100,000 passenger cars that meet a less restrictive rule to be imported each year duty-free into the EU from Canada. Canada and the EU also agreed that, if the EU and the United States were to implement an RTA, US motor vehicle parts would be treated as originating materials under CETA — subject to certain conditions.11 Such agreements have allowed Canadian auto firms to maintain their preferential access to the US market and to continue to source inputs from the United States under NAFTA, while also being able to take advantage of new opportunities provided by RTAs with other countries.
With the United States (and Mexico) in the TPP, Canada would have no problem incorporating NAFTA value-content requirements of 62.5 percent for passenger cars and engines and 60 percent for other auto products under the net cost method.12 But the TPP sets a significantly lower threshold under this method, ranging from 45 percent for motor vehicles, most engines and certain parts, to 40 percent for door assemblies and certain other parts, and to 35 percent for small engines and various other parts. In addition, to accommodate Japan’s concerns, the TPP provides flexibility by offering alternative rules of origin for certain inputs based on processing requirements. Designated inputs (for example, safety glass and body stampings) used to produce motor vehicles, as well as any input used in the production of eligible subassemblies (such as larger gasoline engines and gearboxes), can also qualify as originating inputs if they undergo one or more qualifying operations. In the latter case, the TPP places a cap on how much originating content of the eligible component can be provided by these inputs.
The TPP auto rules of origin are more liberal than those found not only in NAFTA, but also in the Australia-US, Japan-Mexico and (for passenger cars) Japan-Malaysia FTAs — all agreements involving at least one major automotive producer.13 The TPP rules are more restrictive than those in other trade agreements between TPP members, but many of these agreements involve countries that not are significant automotive producers or — as with many of Canada’s and Mexico’s RTAs — stipulate a liberal rule in order to accommodate their auto industries’ reliance on US-made parts.
The TPP automobile controversy
The liberal TPP auto rules of origin have sparked controversy in the NAFTA countries, revealing a split within the industry. Vehicle assemblers are generally supportive, large parts suppliers are lukewarm, the smaller parts producers are deeply concerned, and the unions are opposed.
Vehicle assemblers in Canada, whether US- or Japanese-owned, support the more liberal TPP rules because they would give these companies greater flexibility to tap into global value chains, particularly for less complex parts that are used to produce major subassemblies and vehicles. Nonetheless, the Canadian branches of the Detroit Three — Fiat Chrysler, Ford and General Motors — have criticized the 5-year phaseout of Canada’s 6.1 percent tariff on passenger cars for being much shorter than the 25-year back-end-loaded phaseout of the United States’ 2.5 percent tariff on passenger car imports from Japan.14 The Canadian branches likely worry that the faster Canadian phaseout would squeeze the sales and profits on the Canadian sales of their vehicles, which are made mostly in the United States. On the other hand, the long, back-ended phaseout of the US tariff would offer a buffer against competition from Japan for vehicles produced in Canada that are mostly destined for the United States. Japan-based assemblers, however, would gain much earlier duty-free access to the markets of Canada and other TPP countries.
The parts industry presents a more complex picture. Canada eliminated its multilateral tariff on original-equipment auto parts in 1996. As a result, the industry’s focus is now split between access to new preferential markets, on the one hand, and the threat of increased competition in its North American market from Asian TPP countries because of the more liberal TPP rules of origin, on the other hand. The Automotive Parts Manufacturers Association, representing Canadian parts producers, and its US counterpart, have expressed support for the TPP, albeit tepidly. But in doing so, they acknowledge that their memberships are divided. “Tier-one” parts producers — the larger, more globally oriented producers that supply major subassemblies or modules to the vehicle assemblers — generally welcome the TPP. They have the size, capital and technological resources to adapt to the agreement’s new competitive challenges and market opportunities, including by sourcing more of their own inputs from supply chains outside the TPP territory under the agreement’s more liberal rules of origin.
Small and medium-sized parts companies, however, are concerned that the more liberal rules would expose them to stiffer Asian competition in their traditional North American market. These regionally based and regionally dependent companies — “tier-two” parts producers — manufacture generally smaller or less complex components for both the tier-one parts producers and the vehicle assemblers. Even if the TPP rules were as restrictive as those in NAFTA, the tier-two producers could expect growing competitive pressure over time from the Asian TPP countries. But the more liberal TPP rules would also increase their exposure to competition from lower-wage producers in non-TPP Asian countries, such as China and Thailand, by allowing more content to be sourced from outside the TPP territory than under NAFTA rules.
A longer-term concern might also be that the phaseout of the Canadian and, albeit over a much longer period, US vehicle tariffs could lead to the displacement of North American sales of locally made vehicles by imports from Japan and other Asian TPP countries. Although vehicle producers tend to locate in the regions they sell, such displacement could result in the migration of some vehicle assembly to Asia over time, along with tier-one parts producers, thereby eroding the market of the regionally dependent North American tier-two parts producers. Such concerns underlie calls by the Canadian and US parts manufacturers associations for their respective governments to take action to support the small and medium-size parts producers.
Implications of the automobile rules of origin for Canada
The more liberal auto rules of origin and the elimination of the Canadian tariff under the TPP must be seen in their proper context when assessing the future of the Canadian auto industry. Canada’s vehicle tariff on originating imports from Mexico and the United States was eliminated under NAFTA. The tariff on -originating -vehicles from South Korea will be removed under the FTA with that country in 2017 and also on imports from the EU if CETA is implemented. In effect, then, the TPP would remove the Canadian tariff only on originating vehicle imports from Japan, the last current major global vehicle exporter without preferential access to the Canadian market. Given that two Japanese-owned companies already have major vehicle assembly operations in Canada serving the North American market, the TPP would level the playing field for them against their major competitors, not only those with major assembly facilities in Canada, but also those without.
Although the more liberal TPP rules of origin would place more direct competitive pressure on the tier-two parts suppliers, their future likely depends much more on what happens to vehicle assembly within North America. Even with the globalization of production, most vehicles sold in a region such as North America still tend to be largely produced and assembled within that region, with imports from outside the region limited to select, often lower-volume, models such as luxury cars (United States 2016c). The economic gravitational pull of vehicle assembly remains a key factor in the location of both tier-one and tier-two producers. So, although North American imports of vehicles and parts from Japan and other Asian countries might rise over time under the TPP, most of vehicles sold in North America likely will continue to be produced in the region. The key question, therefore, for the Canadian auto sector in general and the tier-two parts producers in particular is: where, in North America, will vehicles be assembled in the future? Canada’s share of North American light vehicle production declined from around 17 percent in 2000 to approximately 13 percent in 2015 as -investment shifted to the southern US states — attracted in part by lower wages and state government incentives — and, more recently, to Mexico and its lower cost structure.
The vehicle mandates for a number of Canadian-based assembly plants are up for renewal in the next few years. Canada’s ability to attract new vehicle mandates and assembly investment will depend, first, on general competitive factors such as labour costs and productivity, infrastructure, taxation, regulations and the medium-term trend of the Canadian dollar; and, second, on Canada’s response to support and incentives offered by governments elsewhere in the region. These factors likely will be much more important for future vehicle assembly and parts production in Canada (and the northern US states) than the removal of tariffs on Japanese-made vehicles and a less restrictive TPP rule of origin. In this regard, the recently concluded contract between General Motors (GM) and Unifor should be welcome news, as it includes commitments by GM to a new vehicle mandate and major investments in its Oshawa assembly facility as well as additional investment in its St Catherines engine plant (GM and the union are also signalling they are seeking government support).
New vehicle mandates and assembly investment in Canada (or just across the US border), however, will not spare Canadian parts producers from having to adjust to meet increased competitive pressure from Asia under the TPP. But remaining outside the TPP because of the more liberal auto rules would be detrimental to the future of Canada’s auto sector. Were Canada to be outside an implemented TPP, NAFTA’s more restrictive rules of origin would not shield Canadian auto producers from increased competition in their main market, the United States, either from other TPP countries or from within the United States itself. Producers in other TPP countries, including the United States, would be able to source competitive, duty-free originating inputs from a wider range of suppliers within the TPP area, including from regional and global supply chains involving downstream TPP producers supplied by upstream producers outside the TPP region. At the same time, auto producers in the other TPP countries would have preferential access to the larger combined market of the other TPP signatories, and US-based vehicle producers would have the option of sourcing from US and Mexican parts suppliers instead of Canadian parts suppliers, in order to continue to take advantage of the NAFTA tariff preferences when exporting to Canada. Inside the TPP, however, Canada’s auto producers not only would have the opportunity to remain an integral part, both as suppliers and buyers, of the North American supply chain already established under NAFTA; they would also have access to the same new opportunities as producers in other TPP countries to support maintaining their competitive positions in North America.
Conclusion: Navigating the Rules-of-Origin Maze
The TPP, by weaving together and — for many nonagricultural products — -liberalizing the rules of origin across the 32 regional trade agreements involving TPP signatories, offers a number of potential economic benefits. It would expand the preferential market for the TPP producers. It could reduce the diversion in input trade within the TPP area and, for those goods with more liberal rules, from outside the TPP zone. And it would give firms greater opportunities to take advantage of wider regional and global supply chains. Within the TPP, Canada stands to benefit from the common set of rules of origin with full cumulation. The more liberal TPP rules also offer Canadian producers greater flexibility in the sourcing of inputs than do the NAFTA rules. Although the more liberal TPP auto rules have sparked controversy in Canada (and its NAFTA partners), the future of the Canadian auto sector will be shaped largely by other competitive and policy factors. The sector would also face increased competitive pressure from Asian TPP members, but participating in the TPP ultimately offers more opportunities than remaining outside this ambitious, multicountry deal.
Mega-regional deals such as the TPP can reduce the costs and trade distortions caused by the “spaghetti bowl” of rules of origin arising from the proliferation of RTAs, particularly if they also liberalize the rules. But the best way to eliminate such costs and distortions entirely would be to remove the need for rules of origin entirely by eliminating tariffs multilaterally. Unfortunately, the medium-term prospects are not encouraging in light of the largely stalled World Trade Organization (WTO) negotiations. But one useful interim step for the WTO would be to look at developing a harmonized set of preferential rules of origin, with full cumulation, with the preferred goal of making these rules mandatory and as liberal as possible (and avoiding a race to the bottom to more restrictive rules). Achieving agreement would not be easy, as demonstrated by the lack of progress in negotiating the nonpreferential rules called for in the Uruguay Round, but it should be pursued nevertheless.
In the meantime, countries should pursue more rigorously cross-cumulation between separate RTAs — something they could do with or without harmonizing their rules of origin. Canada has included a provision to allow cross-cumulation in its RTAs since NAFTA (albeit to date it has yet to be activated in any of these agreements). The EU has had more success in advancing comprehensive diagonal cumulation (along with harmonizing rules) with its European, North African and Middle East RTA partners. Some RTAs provide for sectoral, one-way cross-cumulation — examples are the Japan-Singapore FTA for textiles and apparel, which allows the use of fabrics from the ASEAN countries,15 and Canada’s FTAs with Peru, Colombia, Panama and South Korea in the case of motor vehicles. Further efforts should be encouraged, with the focus on covering all products. A complementary action would be for RTA participants to liberalize their existing rules of origin. The benefits might be modest and the progress slow — as implementing amendments to the rules in the Canada-Chile FTA and NAFTA have shown — but it would still be a positive step forward.
Future mega-regional deals involving multiple countries with overlapping RTAs might offer more promise in weaving together rules of origin. Negotiations are underway on a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) involving 16 Asian countries, many of which already have RTAs with each other; seven are also parties to the TPP.16 Could the RCEP and TPP be major stepping stones towards a much bigger regional RTA, such as the long-stated goal of establishing a Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific? Such an outcome could offer further economic benefits by expanding the scope of common rules of origin with full cumulation — unless the resulting rules of origin were more restrictive than those in the RCEP and TPP. If the RCEP and TPP became rivals, however, then it is not clear if the spaghetti bowl problem would get simpler by reducing the number of competing RTAs, or more complicated by elevating its size and scope. In any event, firms in the seven Asian countries that would be members of both agreements could find themselves having to choose between the two. This suggests that having more mega-regional deals could prove a double-edged sword.
Another mega-regional agreement currently on the negotiating table is the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). Although the agreement involves only the EU and the United States, both have their own extensive and, to a degree, overlapping webs of RTAs. It might be too optimistic, but a successful TTIP outcome could encourage the two parties to consider recasting their respective rules of origin into a consolidated set for all goods; they might also incorporate directly into the TTIP countries, such as Canada (assuming CETA is implemented) and Mexico, which have RTAs with both.
Where does this leave Canada, as a small, open economy, navigating its way through a maze of rules of origin in a globalized economy characterized by regional and global supply chains and proliferating RTAs? Canada currently has eight RTA negotiations underway and four exploratory discussions on the table, at different stages and prospects.17 More recently, there has been growing attention to expanding Canada’s trade relationship with China, with both countries recently announcing the launch of exploratory talks on an RTA. Another option would be for Canada to join the RCEP negotiations, as its seven Asian TPP partners have done.
In any event, Canada’s heavy dependence on the United States will remain the dominate factor in its approach to rules of origin. Canada needs to continue to seek rules that reflect the importance of the United States as both a major supplier of inputs and major market for outputs in many Canadian sectors. As has been the case in its post-NAFTA RTAs, Canada should continue to be creative and flexible, adapting its approach to different circumstances and using its full arsenal of tools, including derogations, sectoral and, if possible, comprehensive diagonal cumulation, to achieve outcomes that meet Canada’s needs. In its current and future RTA negotiations, and in pursuing amendments to the rules in its existing RTAs, Canada should also strive for more liberal rules of origin, despite some industry concerns, as well as ways to reduce compliance costs.
Appendix: Regional Trade Agreements in Force between TPP Signatories
In addition to individual regional trade agreements (RTAs) in force directly between TPP countries, the list below includes 32 RTAs where at least two TPP countries are members. This list shows significant overlap between the RTAs involving a number of TPP members in Asia.
- ASEAN Free Trade Area (Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam are members)
- ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand
- Australia-New Zealand
- Brunei Darussalam-Japan
- New Zealand-Malaysia
- New Zealand-Singapore
- North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA — Canada, Mexico and the US)
- South Pacific Regional Trade and Economic Co-operation Agreement (Australia and New Zealand are members)
- Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership (Brunei Darussalam, Chile, New Zealand and Singapore)
Source: World Trade Organization 2016a.
The author wishes to thank Colleen Brock, Aaron Sydor, Stephen Tapp, Ari Van-Assche, Robert Wolfe and two reviewers who wish to remain anonymous for their very helpful comments, criticisms and suggestions on earlier drafts of this chapter. The views expressed in this chapter, along with any errors or omissions, are solely the responsibility of the author.
- There are two types of rules of origin: non-preferential rules of origin and preferential rules of origin. Non-preferential rules of origin are used to determine a specific country of origin for purposes such as collecting trade statistics and applying import quotas and anti-dumping duties, whereas preferential rules of origin are used to determine if a good originates. This chapter deals exclusively with preferential rules of origin.
- In other words, these parts themselves must also undergo sufficient production and input sourcing within the RTA territory in order to meet their own rules of origin before they are treated as originating content in the final good.
- Cadot et al. (2006) estimate that the administrative costs of NAFTA rules of origin are about 2 percent of the value of export shipments, while Kunimoto and Sawchuk (2005) estimate that these administrative costs for imports into the United States from Canada are 1.05 percent.
- As expected in any comparison at a high level of aggregation, there are individual exceptions to the broad trends discussed in this chapter. For a more in-depth comparison of the rules of origin found in the 32 RTAs involving the TPP parties, and also between these rules and the TPP rules, see Moroz (2016).
- The limits placed on using nonoriginating inputs in the production of processed fish, meat, fruit and vegetable products vary. For example, producers of many processed meat products have the option of either using fresh, chilled or frozen meat from animals slaughtered in the TPP territory or satisfying a 45 percent regional value-content test if nonoriginating meat is used to produce the good. In the case of processed fish products, nonoriginating fish of certain species can be used, but not of other species.
- For nonagricultural goods, as general matter, NAFTA has the most restrictive rules of origin of all the RTAs involving the TPP countries. The rules in RTAs involving western hemispheric TPP signatories (including their RTAs with Asian TPP countries) are generally more restrictive for nonagricultural products than those found in RTAs solely between Asian TPP countries.
- Intermediate products account for more than half of Canada’s exports and imports of manufactured goods (Baldwin and Yan, in this volume).
- Since 2011, Canada’s applied multilateral most-favoured-nation tariff on manufacturing inputs has been zero. But such inputs imported from countries that do not have a trade agreement with Canada are not eligible to be counted as originating inputs under Canada’s RTAs. Under the TPP, however, such inputs imported from other TPP countries could, if they meet the TPP rules of origin, be used as originating inputs to produce goods exported under tariff preferences to other TPP countries. Canadian producers would also have the opportunity to import nonmanufacturing inputs duty-free from other TPP countries.
- For example, under NAFTA, exports of apparel that are cut, sewn and finished in Canada from nonoriginating fabric are eligible, up to specified annual quantities, for duty-free entry into the United States. These NAFTA derogations are commonly known as Tariff Preference Levels. NAFTA provides such levels for broad categories of textiles and apparel, along with certain narrow categories such as men’s suits.
- The requirement is that the production and sourcing of the US-made parts would have satisfied the rules of origin under these four Canadian RTAs had the United States also been a member.
- The two main conditions involve reducing the value of nonoriginating inputs allowed in a motor vehicle under the CETA auto rule of origin and ensuring consistency between the methods used in a EU-US RTA and the CETA for calculating the regional value-content.
- The net cost method is the only one NAFTA allows for calculating the regional value-content for most auto goods. The TPP, in contrast, offers producers a choice of methods, including the net cost method. The thresholds under the alternatives to the net cost method are higher, but these methods allow profits, sales and marketing costs and other sources of domestic content to be included in the calculation that are excluded from the net cost calculation.
- Some have suggested that the NAFTA “tracing” requirement for automotive goods reduces substantially the differences in the thresholds between the TPP and NAFTA. But even taking into account this tracing effect, it is likely that the NAFTA auto rules would remain significantly more restrictive than the TPP rules for both parts and vehicles. On the comparison between the TPP and NAFTA auto rules, see United States 2016a and Moroz 2016.
- Unifor, the Canadian union representing the workers in the Detroit Three plants in Canada, and the Canadian Steel Producers Association also oppose the faster phaseout of the Canadian vehicle tariff, but they also opposed the more liberal TPP auto rules of origin. As regards trucks, Canada’s 6.1 percent tariff would be phased out in 6 or 11 years, depending on type and size, while the US 25 percent truck tariff would remain in place until eliminated in one step at the start of the 30th year of the TPP.
- Singapore is part of the ASEAN Free Trade Agreement and Japan has a free trade agreement with the ASEAN countries. Fabric woven in ASEAN countries qualifies as originating inputs when used to produce apparel and other finished textiles goods under the Japan-Singapore FTA.
- Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Laos, Myanmar, the Philippines, South Korea, Thailand and the seven Asian TPP signatories — namely, Australia, Brunei Darussalam, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore and Vietnam. All of the members of the TPP and most of the members of RCEP also belong to the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum.
- The eight ongoing negotiations are with the Caribbean Community and Common Market countries, the Dominican Republic, Japan, India, Morocco, Singapore, as a group, Guatemala, Nicaragua and El Salvador, and the modernization of the Canada-Costa Rica Free Trade Agreement. The four exploratory discussions are with Mercosur (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay), Turkey, the Philippines and Thailand. Whether negotiations with Japan and Singapore will be actively pursued likely depends largely on what happens with the TPP. If they are pursued with Japan, the negotiations on auto rules of origin would involve a repeat of the competition between the North American- and Asian-based supply chains.
Photo credit: Nataliya Hora / Shutterstock.com
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Canadian Rules of Origin and a Comparison of the Rules of Origin in TPP Countries and the TPP Rules of Origin
Andrew (Sandy) Moroz
This paper is a background document for Moroz (2016) that provides greater detail on various issues concerning rules of origin that are raised in that paper, such as how Canada has addressed various challenges in negotiating regional trade agreements (RTAs) with different partners and the comparison of the rules of origin in the 32 RTAs involving at least two of the TPP parties and the rules found in the TPP.
The first section of this paper describes the three main techniques for expressing under rules of origin how much production must occur, and which inputs must be made, in the territory of a RTA in order for a good to be considered “originating” and hence eligible for tariff preferences under a RTA. Section 2 discusses the various approaches Canada has used to address the challenges of negotiating rules of origin with different countries given its heavy dependence on the U.S., both as major supplier and as major market for many sectors. The third section provides a general description of the rules of origin found in the 32 RTAs involving TPP countries. Section 4 describes the TPP rules of origin and compares them with the rules of origin found in the 32 RTAs involving TPP signatories.
- Rules of Origin
Rules of origin are used to define how much production must be done, and which inputs must be sourced, in the territory of a RTA before a good can be considered “originating” and hence eligible for the tariff preferences under that RTA. Most RTAs, including the TPP and Canada’s other RTAs, use three main methods to express whether there has been sufficient production and input sourcing for a good to be considered “originating”.
The first is the change in tariff classification method, or tariff-shift rule, which is based on the World Customs Organization’s Harmonized Commodity, Description and Coding System (HS). Such rules define the required production and input sourcing in terms of the difference between the tariff classification of the inputs imported from outside the RTA territory (i.e., non-originating inputs) and the tariff classification of a good produced in the territory using these imported inputs. Tariff shift rules can specify which imported non-originating inputs may not be used by disallowing a change from the tariff classification of that non-originating imported input and the tariff classification of the final good. A rule of origin that disallows the use of more imported inputs in the production of an originating good is more restrictive than a rule of origin with fewer disallowed inputs.
The second method is the regional value-content method which can be expressed either as stand-alone test (i.e., there is no required change in tariff classification) or as an alternative to a tariff-shift rule (which may be combined with a tariff-shift rule of origin that is more liberal than original tariff-shift rule). This type of rule specifies the regional content (i.e., value of originating inputs plus value of production within the RTA territory) that must be added to non-originating inputs in order for the final good to be considered an originating good. Most regional value-content tests stipulate either the minimum level of regional content as percentage of the value of the final good or the maximum value of non-originating inputs as percentage of the value of the final good, although the specific definition of the value of the inputs or the final good can vary between RTAs.
The third method is a specific processing requirement that stipulates which production processes must occur in the RTA territory in order for a good to be considered to an originating good. Such rules can be a stand-alone rule of origin, an alternative to either a tariff-shift or regional value-content rule, or combined with a tariff-shift or regional value-content rule.
As a general matter, if a rule of origin for a final good stipulates that certain inputs must be originating, then these inputs themselves must either be wholly obtained within the RTA territory or, if they contain non-originating inputs, have undergone sufficient production and input sourcing within the RTA territory in order to meet their own rules of origin before they are treated as originating content in that final good.
- Challenges for Canada on Rules of Origin
Canada’s most important RTA is the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) that was implemented in 1994. Since then, Canada has implemented an additional 10 RTAs, concluded three more negotiations, including the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA) with the European Union (EU) as well as the TPP, and is currently negotiating a further seven RTAs. In addition to expanding its international market access, a key motive for Canada pursuing many of these RTAs, including joining the TPP negotiations, has been to maintain its competitive position in key markets for agricultural and other products vis-a-vis its main global competitors as they too have been negotiating their own RTAs. In negotiating its RTAs, Canada has employed a number of approaches in negotiating the rules of origin to safeguard and advance its interests.
One of the main challenges Canada faced in the NAFTA negotiations was the U.S. demands for relatively restrictive rules of origin across a wide range of products. In most cases, including automotive products, Canada was able to negotiate rules that accommodated its interests. However, the U.S. insistence for the restrictive yarn-forward rule of origin for textiles and apparel placed Canada in a dilemma. The yarn-forward rule requires that not only must the apparel or final textile item be cut, sewn and finished in the NAFTA territory, but that both the yarn used to make the fabric and the fabric made from that yarn must also originate within the NAFTA territory. Prior to the NAFTA, many of Canada’s textiles and apparel producers were sourcing yarn or fabric from either low-cost Asian sources or high-quality European suppliers. Canada was able to negotiate tailor-made rules of origin for a few specific products that met the requirements of Canadian producers. But Canada’s main technique to address this concern was to negotiate a derogation from the rules of origin. This derogation allows a limited quantity of fabric or apparel to benefit each year from NAFTA tariff preferences by meeting a less stringent processing requirement. For example, exports of apparel that are cut, sewn and finished in Canada from offshore yarn or fabric are eligible, up to the specified annual quantities, for duty-free treatment when exported to the U.S.
Setting aside textiles and apparel, the NAFTA, and its predecessor, the Canada-U.S. Free Trade Agreement (FTA), have played an important part in shaping the structure and competitiveness of many Canadian industries by encouraging their integration into the North American economy and its supply chains. Many Canadian industries now rely heavily on the U.S., both as their source of key inputs and as the major market for their outputs. While a large part of the Canadian automotive sector —its largest manufacturing sector — had already been heavily integrated with the U.S. automotive sector due to the 1965 Canada-U.S. Automotive Products Agreement (i.e., the Auto Pact), the NAFTA provided duty-free access to the U.S. and Mexican markets for the Japanese-owned automotive companies in Canada which did not have the duty-free access to the U.S. market that was afforded to other vehicle assemblers under Auto Pact. They gained duty-free access under the NAFTA, which allowed them to become an active part of the integrated North American automotive economy.
This heavy dependence of many Canadian industries on the U.S. has shaped significantly Canada’s approach to rules of origin in its RTAs that were negotiated after the implementation of the NAFTA. One common feature of most of Canada’s post-NAFTA agreements is that the rules of origin for many products are more liberal than the rules found in the NAFTA. Either the regional value content thresholds are lower, or the required changes in tariff classification or processing requirements are less onerous. For example, many of these agreements include a regional value-content requirement of 20 percent for passenger cars under the net cost method (see below), in contrast to 62.5 percent threshold under this method found for cars in the NAFTA. This has allowed Canadian vehicle assemblers to continue to source automotive inputs from the U.S. while having the opportunity to take advantage of the preferences offered under these other RTAs.
For various other products, Canada has included in a number of its post-NAFTA RTAs (and the TPP) a modified regional-value content test — the “focused-value method”. This method focuses on a designated list of inputs, usually the dedicated parts or components of a good, and ignores all the other inputs, whether originating or non-originating, when calculating the regional value-content level. Under this method, the regional value-content level can be calculated in two ways: a) subtracting the value of the non-originating inputs on the designated input list from the value of the good and dividing by the value of the good (which is the calculation used in the TPP and the CETA); or b) dividing the value of the non-originating inputs on the designated input list by the value of the good (which is the calculation used in the Canada-Peru FTA). Allowing a significant percentage of these key parts or components to be non-originating, and ignoring whether all the other inputs are originating or not, provides significant flexibility for Canadian producers to maintain their existing suppliers. It also reduces compliance costs since the producer needs only to track the sourcing of the designated inputs.
Seeking more liberal rules of origin and derogations has allowed Canada to mitigate many of its concerns in many industries. However, Canada’s automotive industry, which is heavily integrated into the North American automotive sector, poses a special challenge. Not only is the vast portion of Canadian-made vehicles and parts exported to the U.S. under the NAFTA, but many of the parts used in the assembly of vehicles in Canada come from the U.S. Consequently, even a lower regional value threshold can pose challenges in complying with the rules in RTAs with other countries.
To address this, Canada’s RTAs with Peru, Colombia, Panama and South Korea also stipulate that an automotive part made in the U.S. can count as originating content under these RTAs if the production and sourcing for that part in the U.S. would have met the rule of origin under these agreements had the U.S. been a member of these RTAs. This provision allows Canadian automotive producers to maintain their U.S. sourcing under these agreements, even though these RTAs stipulate a higher regional value-content threshold for such products than that found in some of Canada’s other post-NAFTA RTAs. Canada’s RTAs with Colombia, Honduras and Peru include a similar provision that allows specified yarns and fabrics made in Mexico or the U.S. to be treated as originating materials in the production of textiles and apparel (again, provided the production and sourcing for those yarns or textiles in the U.S. would have met the rule of origin under these agreements had the U.S. been a member of these RTAs).
In most of the above RTAs, Canada’s negotiating partner was also a small open economy that generally favours, like Canada, more liberal rules of origin. Canada, however, faced a major challenge when it entered negotiations on the CETA with the EU in 2009. As a large economy, with many input suppliers, the EU sought, unsurprisingly, relatively more restrictive rules of origin. The CETA negotiations raised the potential of forcing Canadian producers to choose between maintaining their existing preferential access to, and sourcing of inputs from, its NAFTA partners, or shifting their sourcing to the EU to take advantage of the new tariff preferences offered in the large EU market.
In addition to seeking rules of origin that met its needs, Canada negotiated derogations from the normal rule of origin for a number of products, including various textiles and apparel goods, refined sugar and certain high-sugar-containing products and chocolate preparations, certain seafood products, various processed food products (e.g., pasta, bakery products, cranberry and blueberry juice), dog and cat food, and passenger cars. If the CETA is implemented, these Canadian products will be eligible for EU tariff preferences, up to the specified annual quantities, by meeting a less onerous rule of origin. For motor vehicles, the two parties also agreed that, in the event that the EU and the U.S. implement an RTA (and subject both to a higher regional value-content threshold and to Canada’s and the EU’s agreement on the applicable conditions), U.S. parts would be treated as originating materials when used in the production of motor vehicles for purposes of the CETA. Canada also achieved an alternative rule of origin for buses carrying 10 or more people based on the focused-value method for calculating the regional value content level.
In pursuing the above RTAs, Canada has adapted its approaches on rules of origin to meet the specific circumstances at hand in order to maximize the opportunities and minimize the disruptions for its producers. As evident from the various techniques described above, Canada’s key policy goal has been to allow its firms to maintain both their preferential access to the U.S. market and input sourcing from the U.S. under the NAFTA, while also being able to take advantage of the new opportunities provided by other RTAs.
- Rules of Origin in Regional Trade Agreements Involving TPP Parties
The TPP signatory countries are Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam and the U.S. These 12 countries are participants in 32 separate RTAs currently in force that involve at least two TPP signatories, although many of these agreements are bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) directly between various TPP parties (see Appendix for the full list of these RTAs).
This section provides a general description of the rules of origin found in these 32 RTAs, while the following section takes a deeper look at the TPP rules of origin and compares the relative restrictiveness of these rules with the rules found in these 32 RTAs by product categories. As in any comparison involving a broad range of agreements, exceptions to the general comparisons can be found in each RTA. In addition, while many of the RTAs discussed below cover more than 95 percent of tariff lines, some agreements exclude a number of broad sectors (e.g., motor vehicles and their parts in the case of Chile’s RTAs with Malaysia and Vietnam). For the purposes of this paper, the term “motor vehicles” covers only passenger cars, buses and trucks, and excludes motorcycles.
As a general matter, the RTAs involving various configurations of TPP countries, and the TPP itself, use mainly the tariff-shift and regional value-content approaches for expressing the rules of origin. Processing requirement rules tend to be found mainly in certain food processing sectors (e.g., animal and vegetable oils), petroleum goods, chemical and plastic products and, to a lesser extent, apparel. In some cases, a rule of origin may stipulate that a processing requirement must be met in addition to fulfilling a change in tariff classification rule or achieving a regional value-content threshold.
The rules of origin in the RTA’s involving the Western Hemisphere TPP countries (i.e., RTAs between themselves or with Asian TPP members) stipulate a tariff-shift rule for almost all products covered by these agreements; the usual exception being motor vehicles where the rule of origin is frequently based on a mandatory regional value-content test. For a few agricultural products and for many non-agricultural goods, these agreements also provide an alternative rule of origin whereby if the required change in tariff classification does not occur, the product can still qualify as an originating good if it meets a less stringent tariff-shift rule and a regional value-content test.
The RTAs between the Asian TPP signatories set out tariff shift rules for the large majority of goods covered by these agreements. However, for many goods across all sectors, these agreements, along with the Peru-Singapore FTA, also provide an alternative regional value-content test, either combined with a less restrictive tariff-shift rule or with no requirement for a change in tariff classification. One notable exception is the Australia-Japan FTA which does not include an alternative regional value-content test for agricultural products.
For purposes of the discussion below, the comparisons of the regional value-content thresholds in the various RTAs involving the TPP parties are based largely on the build-down formula used in the TPP. This method is found in the U.S.’s post-NAFTA RTAs and is closely comparable to both the transaction value method used in the NAFTA and Canada’s, Chile’s, Mexico’s and Peru’s RTAs, and the value of the good method used in the RTAs involving solely Asian TPP partners. All of these methods focus on the price paid or payable for the good, although there may be some minor variations across these RTAs in the adjustments that may be made either to the price of the good or to the prices of non-originating inputs when making the calculation. Under these approaches, the regional content percentage is calculated by subtracting the value of non-originating materials (i.e., inputs) from the price of the good, and then dividing by the price of the good.
Most of the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP signatories provide producers with the choice of using an alternate approach for calculating the regional value-content of most goods that are subject to a value-content test. One of these alternatives is the net cost method. Net cost is calculated by subtracting from the total cost of producing the good the following costs: sales promotion, marketing and after-sales service costs, royalties, shipping and packing costs, and certain interest costs. The percentage content is calculated by subtracting the value of non-originating materials from the net cost of the good, and dividing by the net cost. By excluding the above costs, as well as profits, from the originating content of the good, the net cost method is more stringent than the above price-based methods at any given threshold level. The net cost approach is the alternative method in the NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA and the Chile-Mexico FTA. It can also be found for selected goods in the other RTAs involving Canada, Chile, Mexico or the U.S. For a few goods, such as automotive products in the NAFTA or the U.S. RTAs with Australia and Peru, only the net cost method may be used to calculate the regional value-content level.
The RTAs negotiated by the U.S. after the NAFTA offer a different alternative, referred to as the build-up method. This method calculates the content level by dividing the value of originating inputs by the value of the good. In a few cases, only the build-up method can be used to determine the regional value-content percentage; for example, automotive engines in the Chile-U.S. FTA. The build-up method is also found in some of the other RTAs between TPP parties (e.g., the Chile-Japan FTA).
The Canada-Peru FTA uses, as the alternative to the tariff-shift rule for a wide range of products, the focused-value method for almost all goods facing a regional value-content test. A good qualifies as originating if the value of the non-originating materials on the designated input list, divided by the transaction value of the good, does not exceed the prescribed threshold. This method is not directly comparable to the other methods discussed in this paper. As noted below, the one notable exception in the Canada-Peru FTA to using the focused-value method is motor vehicles. Producers of motor vehicles face a mandatory regional value-content test that requires the value of all non-originating materials be taken into account when determining if the prescribed threshold has exceeded.
The Chile-Peru FTA also focuses on the value of the non-originating inputs when calculating the regional value-content of a good; however, in this agreement, all of the non-originating inputs must be taken into account when making the calculation. Under this FTA, if the production of a good does not meet the specified processing requirements or conditions set out in the rules of origin chapter, a good can still qualify for tariff preferences if the value of all non-originating materials, divided by the value of the good, does not exceed 50 percent. While a rough comparison of this approach can be made with the build-up method in that the two resemble a reverse mirror image, it is very difficult to compare this method with the other methods above that focus on measuring the originating content level.
The RTAs solely between the Asian TPP members, and the Chile-Peru FTA, do not offer an alternative method for calculating the regional value-content percentage for products facing a regional value-content test. Producers under these agreements can only use the value of the good method.
- TPP Rules of Origin and Comparison with the Rules of Origin of the Other Regional Trade Agreements Involving TPP Parties
Similar to the existing RTAs involving TPP signatories, the two main types of rules of origin employed in the TPP are tariff-shift rules and regional value-content tests. Production processing rules are found mainly in certain food processing sectors (e.g., animal and vegetable oils), petroleum goods, chemical and plastic products, where they are either a mandatory requirement or an alternative rule to a tariff shift rule.
The TPP stipulates a tariff-shift rule of origin for almost all products covered by the agreement, with the main exception being motor vehicles where the rule is a mandatory regional value-content test. For the wide range of other goods, producers are offered a choice between alternative rules of origin, usually between a more stringent tariff-shift rule and a regional value-content test with or without a more liberal tariff-shift rule.
For most goods facing a regional value-content test in the TPP, whether with or without an accompanying tariff-shift rule, producers have the option of using the build-down or the build-up method. For certain automotive parts (e.g., engines), the net cost method is offered as a third option. However, only the net cost and build-down methods are permitted for motor vehicles. The TPP also includes a modified focused-value method that is provided as a third alternative for a range of products (e.g., transmission shafts and housed ball bearings). In contrast to the focused-value approach used in the Canada-Peru FTA, the TPP focused-value approach calculates the regional value-content by subtracting the value of the non-originating inputs on the designated materials list from the value of the good and dividing by the value of the good.
Given the differences inherent with each of these methods in the TPP, the thresholds for both the net cost and build-up methods are set 10 percentage points lower than the threshold for the build-down method for each product facing a regional value-content test (e.g., 40 percent for the former two tests versus 50 percent for the build-down method). The threshold for the focused-value approach is higher than that for the build-down method, in most cases by 10 percentage points. These adjustments to the thresholds under each method are intended to make them roughly equivalent.
The next four sub-sections discuss and compare the TPP rules of origin and the rules found in the 32 RTAs involving TPP signatories on sectoral basis, starting with agriculture.
4.1 Rules of Origin for Agricultural Products
There are a significant number of similarities in the rules of origin for many agricultural products (HS Chapters 1 to 24, including fishery products) in the RTAs involving TPP countries. These rules, however, also reflect specific import sensitivities or export interests for selected products. For example, the rules for most processed or prepared meat, fish, fruit and vegetable products in Japan’s individual RTAs with other TPP members require that the animals, fish, fruits and vegetables used as inputs in the production of these products be born and raised, harvested or grown in the territories of these countries. Peru’s agreements with Mexico and Singapore, as well as the one with Japan, also include similarly restrictive rules of origin for these products, as well as requiring that rice, potato and corn flour and starches be made from rice, potatoes and corn grown in their territories.
While not nearly as extensive as those found in these Japanese and Peruvian RTAs, most of the RTAs involving the TPP countries include similar restrictive tariff-shift rules for selected agricultural products. The U.S. RTAs require that orange juice be made from oranges grown in the respective RTA territories. These agreements also stipulate that refined sugar be made from raw sugar cane or beet grown in the RTA territories. In addition, these U.S. RTAs either require that only originating sugar be used or limit the amount of non-originating sugar that can be used, in the production of a large range of sugar-containing confectionaries. Some U.S. RTAs, such as the one with Peru, place similar restrictions on materials used in the production of selected fish and fruit preparations. The Canadian and U.S. FTAs include restrictions on the use of non-originating milk for dairy products and preparations containing more than 10 percent by dry weight in milk solids. Less restrictive tariff-shift rules for almost all agricultural products, including those mentioned above, are found in the RTAs involving Malaysia and Vietnam with other Asian TPP members, other than with Japan.
An important difference in the agricultural rules of origin in the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP signatories and Japan’s RTAs on the one hand and the remaining RTAs between the Asian TPP countries on the other hand, is that the former group of RTAs either provides an alternative regional value-content test only for a small number of goods or does not offer such an alternative test for any agricultural products. In contrast, the latter group of RTAs (i.e., solely between Asian TPP parties) provides flexibility in the form of an alternative regional value-content test for a wide range of agricultural prepared or processed products, usually with a 40 percent threshold. For example, while both groups of countries require refined sugar and most high-sugar containing products to be made from originating raw sugar, the latter group provides the alternative of a 40 percent regional value-content test. The RTAs involving Australia, Brunei, New Zealand, Malaysia and Vietnam also include, as a second alternative rule, processing requirement rules for some agricultural goods (e.g., cooking vegetables, refining of animal and vegetable oils).
4.2 TPP Rules of Origin for Agricultural Products
For most agricultural products (HS Chapters 1 to 24, which includes fishery products), the TPP rules of origin are as restrictive, or more restrictive, than those found in most of the RTAs between TPP signatories, including the NAFTA. It appears that the TPP negotiators chose to resolve difficulties by accommodating the agricultural sensitivities of individual participants by opting for more restrictive rules of origin.
The TPP rules for many processed fish, meat, fruit and vegetable products are more restrictive than the rules found in many of the RTAs involving the TPP parties as they either do not allow or limit the use of fish, cattle, fruit or vegetables harvested, slaughtered or grown outside the TPP territory. As noted below, some flexibility is provided for meat products.
The rules for these goods have been fine-tuned to allow for the use of non-originating inputs in certain cases. For example, fillets, meal and food preparations of tuna, salmon, sardines and sprats must be made from fish caught in the territories of the TPP parties in order to qualify for TPP tariff preferences. On the other hand, such products produced from other species, such as herring, trout, cod and haddock, can be made from fish imported from outside the TPP zone.
A wide range of fruits and vegetables, including peaches, strawberries, mangoes, guavas, citrus fruits, potatoes, olives, onions, asparagus, mushrooms and peas, must also must be grown in the TPP region for many of their preparations to qualify for TPP tariff preferences. Some flexibility is provided for a small number of selected products. For example, single fruit jams made from peaches, strawberries, mangoes or guavas can use non-originating fruits as long as the value of those fruits does not exceed 50 percent of the value of the product.
The TPP rules for most processed beef, pork and chicken meat preparations require that they be made from animals slaughtered in a TPP country, although some flexibility is provided as producers of these goods have recourse to an alternative regional value-content test of 45 percent under the build-down method if non-originating meat is used in their production.
Rice and potato flour and starches must be made from rice and potatoes grown in TPP countries. There also are limitations on using non-originating potato flour in the production of certain other products (e.g., the weight or value of non-originating rice flour cannot exceed a certain threshold of the weight or value of the good).
The TPP also incorporates the more restrictive rules of origin for sugar and sugar-containing products, as well as dairy and dairy-containing products, that are found in the RTAs involving TPP signatories (see previous sub-section).
The TPP offers, as an alternative rule to the stipulated tariff-shift rule, a regional value-content test to fewer products than the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP parties, except those involving Japan. On the other hand, more agricultural goods are eligible for such an alternative rule than in the case of most of the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric RTA signatories. The products eligible for an alternative regional value-content test (usually with a 40 percent threshold under the build-down approach) include, in addition to processed meat preparations, certain refined vegetable oils (e.g., palm, sesame and castor oils), crushed pepper, fruit and nut mixtures, juice mixtures, mayonnaise, salad dressing and non-alcoholic beer and wine.
As compared to the NAFTA, the TPP represents a tightening of the rules of origin for a significant range of agricultural products. For example, while the NAFTA did not allow the use of non-originating citrus fruits in the production of single fruit juices, the TPP expands the restriction on using non-originating fruits and vegetable to a wide range of products. Similarly, the NAFTA rules for meat preparations allowed the use of non-NAFTA fresh, chilled or frozen meat. However, it is not expected that these more restrictive TPP rules of origin will have much impact on Canadian producers as many of the newly restricted inputs are readily available in Canada or from the U.S. In addition, Canadian firms will have access to these inputs from other TPP members, many of which are also important agricultural producers.
4.3 Non-Agricultural Products
Turning to non-agricultural products (HS Chapters 25 to 97), one important difference between RTAs of TPP parties is that the tariff-shift rules are more restrictive for a significant number of non-agricultural products in the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP countries than those rules in the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP signatories. In other words, the tariff-shift rules in the former group of RTAs require more of the inputs to originate in their RTA territories, although in many of these cases, the producer has recourse to an alternative regional value-content test with a less strict tariff-shift rule. This distinction has, however, lessened over time for Canada, Mexico and the U.S. as the three have moved towards more liberal tariff-shift rules for various non-agricultural goods since the NAFTA. The notable exception is the rules of origin for textiles and apparel.
As second important distinction between the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP members on the one hand and the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP countries on the other hand is that the latter group of RTAs includes a regional value-content test as the alternative to the tariff-shift rule, usually with a 40 percent threshold under the value of the good approach, for most products across all non-agricultural sectors. The RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric countries provide an alternative regional value-content test (almost always combined with a tariff-shift rule) for fewer non-agricultural goods, mainly concentrated in the industrial and consumer manufactured goods sectors (i.e., HS Chapters 84-96). The NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA and Mexico’s RTAs with Chile and Peru also provide an alternative regional value-content test for many chemical, plastic and rubber products. However, Canada and the U.S. have largely discarded the regional value-content test for many chemical, plastic and rubber products in most of their RTAs subsequent to the NAFTA, replacing it with more liberal tariff-shift rules or an alternative processing requirement rule (e.g., chemical reaction, purification and isomer isolation rules for chemicals). However, the RTAs involving Canada, Chile, Mexico, Peru and the U.S. do not provide an alternative regional value-content test for textiles and apparel, except in the case of the Chile-Mexico FTA.
The third important difference between the RTAs amongst the TPP parties is that the threshold percentage varies significantly for the products facing a regional value-content test, whether as a standalone test or as an alternative to a tariff-shift rule.
The NAFTA and the Japan-Singapore FTA specify the highest thresholds of the RTAs involving TPP parties. The latter stipulates a threshold of 60 percent under the value of the good approach for almost all products facing a regional value-content test. The NAFTA has a 60 percent threshold for almost all products facing a regional value-content test under the transaction method, with the alternative of 50 percent under the net cost method. The two notable exceptions under the NAFTA are footwear and automotive goods where only the net cost method may be used. Footwear faces a 55 percent threshold level under this method. The threshold is 62.5 percent for passenger cars and their engines and gear-boxes, and 60 percent for other motor vehicles, their engines and gear-boxes, and for most other automotive parts. In addition, the NAFTA stipulates a list of automotive parts for which their value, if they are non-originating, must be “traced” through the automotive production chain up to the final motor vehicle when calculating the regional value-content percentage.
The U.S. agreements with Australia, Chile, Peru and Singapore contain a 45 percent value-content requirement under the build-down method for almost all products facing a regional content value test, with an alternative of 35 percent under the build-up method. The first notable exception is footwear where certain footwear (e.g., waterproof and sports footwear) face higher thresholds. The threshold is 55 percent under the build-down method in the Australia-U.S. FTA, with an even more stringent threshold of 55 percent under the build-up method in the U.S. RTAs with Chile, Peru and Singapore with no alternative test under the build-down method. While the U.S. FTAs with Australia, Chile and Singapore stipulate thresholds of 35 percent under the build-up method and 45 percent under the build-down method for other footwear, the Peru-U.S. FTA sets the threshold for other footwear at 20 percent threshold under the build-up method. The second notable product exception is automotive goods, for which various methods and thresholds are used. The Australia-U.S. FTA and Peru-U.S. FTA only allow producers to use the net cost method for motor vehicles and engines, with a threshold of 50 percent and 35 percent respectively. While the former agreement also maintains a 50 percent net cost requirement for other automotive parts, the Peru-U.S. FTA provides producers with the choice of 45 percent under the build-down method or 35 percent under the build-up method for these parts. The U.S. RTA with Chile stipulates a 30 percent threshold under the build-up method for engines, but allows producers to use either the build-down method at 50 percent or the build-up method at 30 percent for vehicles and other automotive parts. The automotive rule of origin in the Singapore-U.S. FTA is a 30 percent regional value-content test under the build-up method.
The threshold level for almost all products facing a regional value-content test in the various RTAs between Australia, Brunei, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore and Vietnam (including the ASEAN Free Trade Area and its agreements with Australia, Japan and New Zealand) is 40 percent under the value of the good method, whether this test is a stand-alone test, is combined with a tariff-shift rule or is an alternative to a more restrictive tariff-shift rule. The two notable exceptions are the 60 percent threshold for passenger cars and motorcycles and the 50 percent level for other motor vehicles in the Japan-Malaysia FTA, and, as noted earlier, the general 60 percent threshold in the Japan-Singapore FTA.
Mexico’s FTAs with Chile, Japan and Peru stipulate a 50 percent content level under the transaction value method for most products facing a regional value-content test, with the alternative of 40 percent under the net cost method in the agreement with Chile. The first notable exception to this general approach is footwear at 55 percent under the transaction method in the Japan-Mexico FTA. The second notable exception is motor vehicles where the content level is 32 percent and 35 percent in its RTAs with Chile and Peru, respectively (with the alternative of 26 percent under the net cost method in the agreement with Chile), but 65 percent for both motor vehicles and their parts in Mexico’s FTA with Japan.
Chile’s RTA with Japan sets out a content level of 45 percent under the build-down method and 30 percent under the build-up method for all goods facing a regional value-content test, including motor vehicles. Its FTAs with Australia, Malaysia and Vietnam stipulate a 40 percent threshold under the value of goods method. Motor vehicles are excluded from the coverage of the Chile-Malaysia and Chile-Vietnam FTAs. As noted above, the Chile-Peru FTA uses a different formula for determining the content level which focuses on the value of non-originating materials as opposed to the originating regional content, by stipulating that the value of non-originating materials cannot exceed 50 percent of the value of the good where this rule is applied under this agreement.
The regional value-content threshold for most goods facing this test in the Japan-Peru Free FTA is either 40 percent or 50 percent under the value of the good approach, with various chemicals and many types of machinery and electrical equipment facing the latter level. The threshold for motor vehicles and most automotive parts, however, is 45 percent (but 50 percent for engines and their parts). In contrast, the content level in the Peru-Singapore FTA ranges from 30 per cent for rubber products to 35 percent for some goods (e.g., certain chemicals, most scientific equipment), 40 percent for electrical equipment, automotive goods and ships, and 45 percent for plastic goods and most non-electrical machinery and equipment, with a few products required to achieve 50 percent (e.g., most footwear).
The content threshold in the Canada-Chile FTA is 35 percent under the transaction value method for many manufactured products, with an alternative of 25 percent under the net cost method. However, it ranges from 40 percent for rubber products under the transaction value method (or 30 percent under the net cost method) to 50 percent for zinc articles (40 percent under the net cost method), 60 percent for various chemical, plastic and steel and certain other metal goods (with the alternative of 50 percent if the net cost method is used), and up to 65 percent for certain chemical products such as cleaning products and explosives (with a 50 percent threshold under the net cost alternative). Only the net cost method can be used to calculate the regional value-content percentage for motor vehicles, automotive parts and footwear, with the thresholds set at 20 percent, 30 percent and 55 percent, respectively.
As noted above, the Canada-Peru FTA uses the focused-value method for almost all products facing a regional value-content test, which is not directly comparable to the other methods used in the other RTAs or the TPP. For most goods facing a regional value-content test based on this method in this RTA, the allowable value of non-originating materials on the designated list of inputs is 65 percent of the transaction value of the good. The allowable percentage of such non-originating inputs is lower for some products, such as 50 percent for footwear, 40 percent for ships and 35 percent for certain cutlery sets. The one exception to using the focused-value approach in the Canada-Peru FTA is motor vehicles. Producers must take into account the value of all non-originating materials used in the production of motor vehicles when calculating the regional value-content of their products. The value of all non-originating inputs cannot exceed 55 percent of the transaction value of the vehicle or 65 percent of the net cost of the vehicle, but under both options, U.S.-made parts are eligible to be counted as originating inputs.
4.4 TPP Rules of Origin for Non-Agricultural Goods
This sub-section compares the rules of origin for non-agricultural goods in the 32 RTAs involving TPP parties and the TPP on a sector basis.
The TPP rules of origin for most mineral fuel, chemical, plastic and rubber products provide producers with the alternative of meeting either a tariff-shift rule or a processing requirement rule (e.g., chemical reaction). For certain products, mainly plastic products, there is a further alternative provided in the form of a regional value-content test with a threshold for most such products of 45 percent under the build-down method or 35 percent under the build-up method. As such, the TPP rules for these products are more liberal than those found in the NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA and Japan’s agreements with Mexico and Peru. These agreements, mainly negotiated more than 10 years ago, only include a processing requirement rule for a few products. Instead, these RTAs rely heavily on relatively more restrictive tariff-shift rules, with alternative regional-value-content tests with higher content thresholds than those found in the TPP.
On the other hand, the TPP rules of origin for mineral fuels, chemical, plastic and rubber products are somewhat more restrictive than those found in the RTAs between the Asian TPP signatories and some of their agreements with West Hemispheric countries (e.g., the Chile-Malaysia FTA). Most of these products in these RTAs face an alternative regional value-content test of 40 percent of the value of the good as compared to 45 percent under the comparable build-down method in the TPP. But the TPP does offer the alternative of meeting a processing requirement rule for many of these products. The rules of origin for these products in the remaining RTAs between TPP parties, including the ones involving the U.S., the Chile-Japan FTA and the Mexico-Peru FTA, are largely similar to those in the TPP, although the Mexico-Peru FTA stipulates a 50 percent content level under the value of the good method for those goods given the alternative option of meeting a regional value-content test. The focused-value method used in the Canada-Peru FTA is not directly comparable to those in the TPP and other RTAs.
The tariff-shift rules of origin for almost all wood, pulp and paper products are largely comparable between the TPP and the existing RTAs between TPP partners. The one notable difference across the various RTAs is that most of the agreements between the Asian TPP members also include an alternative stand-alone 40 percent regional value-content test which is not included in the TPP. The TPP tariff-shift rules for these products, however, are not unduly onerous.
As regards base metal products (e.g., iron and steel, aluminum, copper), the tariff shift rules are roughly similar in most of the existing RTAs between TPP countries. Most of the RTAs between Asian TPP signatories also include the alternative of a 40 percent regional value-content test for most of these products. In contrast, most of the RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP signatories offer a regional value-content test for relatively few products. In earlier agreements, such as the NAFTA and the Canada-Chile FTA, the threshold is set at 60 percent under the transaction value method and 50 percent under the net cost method, while the thresholds are lower in the agreements subsequently negotiated with other parties by countries (e.g., 45 percent under the build-down method and 35 percent under the build-up method, respectively, in the Australia-U.S. and Peru-U.S. FTAs).
The TPP largely incorporates the relatively liberal tariff-shift rules found in all most all of the RTAs between TPP parties for most base metal products. It also provides an alternative regional value-content test for a wide range of these products, with the thresholds ranging from 40 percent to 50 percent under the build-down method and 30 percent to 40 percent under the build-up method. A number of products also have a third option under the focused-value method, usually with a threshold that is 10 percentage points higher than the threshold under the build-down method for the good in question.
Turning to footwear, a major export interest for Vietnam, the TPP stipulates a regional value-content requirement of 55 percent under the build-down method and 45 percent under the build-up method, and introduces a new restriction in the change in tariff classification not found in the NAFTA and the other RTAs involving the TPP signatories, namely that non-originating partially-assembled or “hanging” uppers may not be used. These TPP thresholds are significantly higher than the thresholds found in the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP members. The picture is mixed in the comparison of the TPP footwear rules of origin with the rules for these products in the RTAs involving the TPP Western Hemispheric countries. The TPP regional value-content test is less stringent than the test found in the NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA, the Canada-Peru FTA and, for certain footwear (e.g., waterproof footwear), the U.S. agreements with Australia, Chile, Peru and Singapore. On the other hand, the TPP regional value-content test is more demanding than the test for other footwear in the U.S. agreements with these four TPP countries, as well as the test for footwear found in Peru’s agreements with Mexico and Singapore. The Japan-Mexico FTA stipulates a 55 percent regional value-content percentage under the value of the good approach, which matches, for all intents and purposes, the same as the 55 percent threshold set in the TPP under the build-down method. The TPP footwear rules of origin, however, could potentially be more restrictive than the rules found in any of the RTAs involving TPP parties because of the prohibition on using non-originating “hanging” uppers. To the extent that TPP footwear producers import “hanging” uppers from outside the TPP region, they face a more onerous rule of origin.
In the case of textiles and apparel, the TPP has retained the restrictive tariff-shift yarn-forward rule of origin found in the NAFTA and most of the other RTAs involving the U.S. and other Western Hemispheric TPP members. These rules are much stricter than their counterpart rules found in the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP signatories. For example, a number of these Asian agreements allow non-originating greige fabrics to be cut, printed and finished when they are used in the production of originating apparel or other final textile articles. The RTAs between Australia, Malaysia, New Zealand and Vietnam also allow producers to use non-originating yarn or fabric in the production of apparel and other final textile articles provided that the cutting and sewing or knitting-to-shape, and finishing of the apparel occurs in the territories of these RTAs and that the regional value-content percentage is not less than 40 percent.
The TPP does not include the type of derogations found in the NAFTA that allow limited quantities of textiles and apparel to qualify for tariff preferences under a more liberal rule of origin, with one exception. Vietnam can use non-originating cotton fabric to produce pants eligible for preferences into the U.S., but the annual allowable volume is both capped and linked to Vietnam’s purchase of U.S.-originating cotton fabrics. The main tool providing flexibility for all TPP members is a “short supply list” that identifies yarns and fabrics that are considered not to be commercially available within the TPP region. In many cases, the use of such non-originating yarns and fabrics is restricted to the production of certain products.
In the TPP, producers of motor vehicles and most automotive components must meet a regional value-content test in order for their goods to be eligible for tariff preferences. The TPP, however, offers a number of alternative approaches for this test, each with their own thresholds. The value-content requirement for motor vehicles is 55 percent under the build-down method and 45 percent under the net cost method. The thresholds for gasoline engines exceeding 250cc and diesel engines, as well as gear-boxes, brakes and certain other parts, are 45 percent under both the build-up and net cost methods, and 55 percent under the build-down method. The threshold for smaller gasoline engines is 35 percent under the first two methods and 45 percent under the build-down method. Certain other parts, such engine parts, radiators, mufflers and their respective parts, also face the same thresholds under these three methods. Other parts, including airbags, door assemblies and drive axles with differential, are required to meet a 40 percent requirement under either build-up or net cost methods, or 50 percent under the build-down method. The content level for vehicle seats is 30 percent under the build-up method and 40 percent under the build-down method.
The TPP, however, provides automotive producers with flexibility in meeting the rules of origin for certain goods. In the case of motor vehicles, certain designated parts can also qualify as originating inputs when used in the production of a vehicle if, rather than satisfying their applicable rule of origin, they undergo one or more of the specified qualifying operations. The designated parts are safety glass, bodies (including cabs), bumpers, door assemblies and certain other body stampings, and drive axles with differential. The eligible qualifying operations are complex assembly, complex welding, die or other casting, extrusion, forging, laminating, metal forming, machining, moulding and stamping and pressing. Similar flexibility is also provided for inputs used in the production of eligible major components, such as gasoline engines exceeding 250cc, diesel engines, brakes, gear-boxes, suspension systems and steering columns. Inputs used in the production of these eligible components qualify as originating inputs if they undergo one or more of the above qualifying operations. However, the value of these inputs that can be counted as originating under this provision is capped at either five percent of the originating content of the eligible component for some of these goods or 10 percent for others. If the eligible major component meets its rule of origin, including as a result of applying this provision, then the full value of that eligible component is treated as originating content for purposes of the regional value-content calculation for a motor vehicle.
As noted above, the automotive rules of origin vary significantly across the RTAs between TPP members, both in the formula used to calculate the regional value-content and the threshold that must be achieved. A direct comparison between the automotive rules across these RTAs, however, is not straightforward for the reasons indicated below, which include the fact that the NAFTA includes a special tracing mechanism for automotive goods.
As a general observation, the TPP rules of origin for vehicles and many automotive parts, such as engines and gear-boxes and their parts, are more restrictive, albeit in varying degrees, than the rules found in many of the RTAs between TPP members, even after taking into account the alternative processing requirement rules offered by the TPP for various automotive inputs. But many of these RTAs either involve countries that are not significant automotive producers or, in the case of Canada’s and Mexico’s RTAs with Chile and Peru, stipulate low regional value-content thresholds for automotive goods to accommodate their industries’ reliance on U.S.-made parts.
On the other hand, the TPP automotive rules of origin are more liberal, again in varying degrees, than the rules found in the Australia-U.S. FTA, the Japan-Mexico FTA, the NAFTA and, for passenger cars, the Japan-Malaysia FTA. Each of these agreements involve major automotive producers and stipulate higher thresholds under their regional value-content tests for many automotive goods than the thresholds found in the TPP under the comparable methods employed in those RTAs.
There is, however, a debate over whether the TPP is less restrictive than the NAFTA (see U.S. House of Representatives, Ways and Means Committee (2016), Inside U.S. Trade (2016) and Inside U.S. Trade (2015). The NAFTA threshold of 62.5 percent or 60 percent for automotive goods under the net cost method is clearly stricter than the 45 percent, 40 percent and 35 percent levels found under this method in the TPP. However, any direct comparison between thresholds is complicated by the fact that the NAFTA requires the value of non-originating parts on the designated NAFTA list to be traced throughout the production process when calculating the regional value of automotive goods. Parts not on the designated list are deemed to be originating, regardless of where they are obtained. While the NAFTA tracing list includes most of the components and parts that go into motor vehicles, the increased use of electronics and the introduction of new components such as rear-view cameras into vehicles means that number of parts and inputs now used in vehicles are not on this list. This has the effect of reducing the gap between the NAFTA and TPP thresholds for motor vehicles by lowering the effective NAFTA threshold. This “tracing” effect, however, is smaller in the case of those major components that that have not been affected by the introduction of new electronics or parts.
In addition, the TPP automotive rules treat the full value of an automotive part as originating content if the production and sourcing of that part satisfies its TPP rule of origin, even if some of the inputs used to make that part are non-originating. Consequently, if that part is used in the production of another automotive component or a vehicle itself, then 100 percent of its value, including its non-originating content, is counted as originating content when calculating the regional value-content level of that component or vehicle. This is the so-called “roll-up effect” waters down the TPP threshold level.
Without detailed (and likely confidential) company information on costs and sourcing of inputs, it is not possible to reach a definitive quantitative conclusion on which rule of origin is more restrictive. Nevertheless, given that the tracing and roll-up effects work to offset each other to some degree, it remains highly likely that the NAFTA automotive rule is significantly more restrictive due to the significantly lower TPP thresholds and, albeit to a lesser extent, the TPP’s alternative processing requirement rules for certain automotive inputs. The difference between the automotive rules of origin in the two agreements is much more pronounced for automotive components and parts since the TPP threshold levels are much lower for many parts.
The TPP rules of origin for the remaining manufactured products, including industrial machinery, household appliances, industrial and consumer electronic products, toys, scientific equipment, musical instruments and transportation equipment other than automotive, mostly involve a tariff-shift rule that requires the dedicated parts used in the production of the good to be originating, with an alternative regional value-content test when non-originating dedicated parts are used. For many of these goods, the TPP threshold is 40 percent under the build-down method and 30 percent under the build-down method. Other goods face a threshold of 45 percent and 35 percent, respectively, under these methods, with a few facing higher thresholds under the two methods. In addition, producers of most of these products have the option of using the focused-value method, with varying thresholds.
The tariff-shift rules in the TPP are similar to, if not more liberal for various products than, the rules found in most of the RTAs involving TPP signatories for most of these remaining manufactured goods. The main differences between the TPP and the other RTAs involving TPP signatories are found in thresholds for the regional value-content tests. The RTAs between the Asian TPP countries, and the Chile-Vietnam FTA, set out a threshold of 40 percent under the value of the good approach for most of these products, which is closely comparable to the 40 percent threshold under the TPP’s build-down method.
The U.S. RTAs with Australia, Chile, Peru and Singapore, and the Chile-Japan FTA, stipulate a threshold of 45 percent under the build-down method and 35 percent under the build-up method for most of these goods. The thresholds in the Chile-Malaysia and Peru-Singapore FTAs are a mix of 40 percent and 45 percent for these goods under the value of the good approach, although the Peru-Singapore FTA also stipulates a 50 percent threshold for some of these goods and only 35 percent for some others. The Japan-Peru FTA and Mexico’s RTAs other than NAFTA stipulate a higher threshold of 50 percent for most of these goods under the transaction value method, which is very similar to the build-down method. The TPP thresholds for these remaining manufactured goods are significantly less than the 60 percent threshold under the transaction value method required under the NAFTA. On the other hand, the TPP thresholds are somewhat higher than the threshold of 35 percent under the transaction value method found for most of these products in the Canada-Chile FTA. They may also be slightly higher than the thresholds found in the Canada-Peru FTA, but a direct comparison is difficult between the method used in that agreement and the methods used in the TPP.
Overall, the TPP rules of origin for most non-agricultural goods are more liberal than the rules in the NAFTA, and are either comparable or more liberal than the rules found in most of the other RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP parties. As discussed above, the one notable exception is textiles and apparel, where the restrictive yarn-forward rule of origin found in the NAFTA and the other RTAs involving the Western Hemispheric TPP countries has been incorporated into the TPP.
On the other hand, the TPP rules for most wood products, base metal products and manufactured industrial and consumer goods are largely similar to the rules in the RTAs solely between the Asian TPP signatories and a few of their agreements with West Hemispheric countries (e.g., the Chile-Malaysia FTA). The one notable exception is the Japan-Singapore FTA for those goods facing a regional value-content test as the TPP sets a significantly lower threshold under this test. On the other hand, the TPP rules or origin for footwear and particularly textiles and apparel are significantly more restrictive than the rules for such goods found in these Asian RTAs. The TPP rules for various mineral, chemical, plastic, rubber and automotive products are somewhat more restrictive than the rules found in these RTAs, except in the case of passenger cars in the Japan-Malaysia FTA and the goods facing a regional value-content test in the Japan Singapore FTA.
- Final Remarks
This paper is a background document for a number of the issues discussed in Moroz (2016). That paper looks at the role of rules of origin in RTAs with a focus on three critical aspects: restrictiveness, cumulation, and compliance costs. It then examines the TPP rules of origin from two perspectives: the broader implications of the TPP’s weaving together the different rules in the 32 RTAs involving TPP parties into a single, common set of rules with full cumulation; and the implications for Canada. As noted in this document, the TPP rules of origin are more restrictive for many agricultural products, but more liberal for many non-agricultural products, than the rules found in many of the 32 RTAs involving at least two TPP signatories. As discussed in Moroz (2016), one consequence is that TPP rules of origin, by establishing a common set of rules of origin with full cumulation for the 12 TPP signatories, could have an impact on the level of trade diversion in inputs between the TPP parties and between these countries and the rest of the world. Moroz (2016) also examines the challenges of negotiating rules of origin in a world of regional and global supply chains by looking at the TPP outcome on the rules in two sectors: textiles and apparel, and automotive goods. It also discusses the implications for the Canadian automotive sector of the more liberal automotive rules in the TPP, as compared the rules for such goods to the NAFTA. The paper concludes with some observations on navigating rules of origin in the future.
Abreu, M. D. (2013), “Preferential Rules of Origin in Regional Trade Agreements”, World Trade Organization, Economic Research and Statistics Division, Staff Working Paper ERSD-2013-05, March 2013
Brenton, P. (2010). “Preferential Rules of Origin”, in Chauffour, J. P. and Maur, J.C. (eds), Preferential Trade Agreement Policies for Development: a Handbook, Washington DC: The World Bank.
Estevadeordal, A. (2000). “Negotiating Preferential Market Access: The Case of the North American Free Trade Agreement,” Journal of World Trade 34, 141-166.
Estevadeordal, A., and K. Suominen (2008), “What are the Trade Effects of Rules of Origin”, in A. Estevadeordal and K. Suominen (eds), Gatekeepers of Global Commerce: Rules of Origin and International Economic Integration, Washington DC, Inter-American Development Bank, 161-219.
Inside U.S. Trade (2016), “TPP Auto ROO Most Likely To Hurt Makers Of Less Complex Parts: Experts”, 01/22/2016, Vol. 34, No. 3.
Inside U.S. Trade (2015),“Mexican Automakers Support TPP Vehicle ROO; Say It Won’t Weaken NAFTA”, 10/09/2015 , Vol. 33, No. 39.
Moroz, A. (2016), “Navigating the Maze: Canada, Rules of Origin and the Trans-Pacific Partnership (and Two Tales of Supply Chains)”, in S. Tapp, A. Van Assche, and R. Wolfe (editors), Art of the State: Volume VI: Redesigning Canadian Trade Policies for New Global Realities, Institute for Research on Public Policy.
U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Ways & Means, Minority Staff Report 114th Congress, “TPP Issue Analysis: Trade in the Automotive Manufacturing Supply Chain”, 8 January 2016.
World Trade Organization (2002). “Rules of Origin Regime in Regional Trade Agreements”, Geneva, WT/REG/W/45, 5 April 2002.
World Trade Organization (2011), “World Trade Report 2011: The WTO and Preferential Trade Agreements: From Co-existence to Coherence”, Geneva: WTO.
Appendix: Regional Trade Agreements in Force between TPP Signatories
In addition to individual regional trade agreements (RTAs) in force directly between TPP countries, the list below includes RTAs where at least two TPP countries are members.
- ASEAN Free Trade Area (Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, Singapore and Vietnam are members)
- ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand
- Australia-New Zealand
- Brunei Darussalam-Japan
- New Zealand-Malaysia
- New Zealand-Singapore
- North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA – Canada, Mexico and the U.S.)
- South Pacific Regional Trade and Economic Co-operation Agreement (Australia and New Zealand are members)
- Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership (Brunei Darussalam, Chile, New Zealand and Singapore)
Source: World Trade Organization, Regional Trade Agreements – https://www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/region_e/region_e.htm, accessed on May 21, 2016.
 The author wishes to thank Colleen Brock, Stephen Tapp, Robert Wolfe and a commentator who wishes to remain anonymous for their very helpful comments, criticisms and suggestions on earlier drafts of this paper. The views expressed in this paper, along with any errors or omissions, are solely the responsibility of the author.
 For the full list of Canadian RTAs which are in force, concluded or under negotiation, see Canada’s Free Trade Agreements, Global Affairs website – http://www.international.gc.ca/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr-acc/fta-ale.aspx?lang=eng
 These NAFTA fabric and apparel derogations are commonly known as Tariff Preference Levels (TPLs). The NAFTA provides TPLs for broad categories of textiles and apparel, along with certain narrow categories such as men’s suits, with differing annual quantities. Canada has included similar derogations for textiles and apparel in many of its subsequent RTAs.
 A number of the EU’s RTAs provide similar derogations for various products exported to the EU by the other party under these agreements. In the case of CETA, the EU also obtained a derogation for various textile and apparel exports to Canada.
 In some of these RTAs, the value of the good method is referred to as “qualifying value of the good” approach.
 Many of these RTAs require that the price paid or payable be determined in accordance with the WTO Customs Valuation Agreement.
 In the Japan-Singapore FTA, the usual value of good approach is used for most goods facing a regional value-content requirement; however, there is one exception: for goods of HS Chapter 22 (Alcoholic Products) facing a regional value-content test, the calculation involves dividing the value of non-originating materials by the value of the good.
 In the case of Japan’s FTAs with Malaysia and Vietnam, fish caught and fruits and vegetables grown in the territories of the other ASEAN countries are treated as originating materials under these RTAs.
 The NAFTA parties and Canada and Chile are examining potential amendments to their respective RTAs that would involve adding, or replacing some of the existing rules of origin with, processing requirement rules for chemical and plastic products.
 In 2013, Canada published a request for public comments on a series of proposed amendments to the rules of origin in the Canada-Chile FTA. These proposals included offering producers of automotive goods and footwear the option of satisfying an alternative regional value-content test based on the transaction value method (albeit with a higher threshold than under the net cost method). The proposed amendments also included the proposal to lower the threshold under the net cost method for footwear to 40 percent. As of August 2016, these proposals have not been implemented.
 The notable exception is the Chile-Mexico FTA which has a relatively liberal change in tariff classification rule combined with alternative regional value-content test of 50 percent under the transaction value method or 40 percent under the net cost method.
 In addition to the NAFTA, the Canada-Chile FTA and the Chile-U.S. FTA also provide derogations for textiles and apparel products. Presumably producers in these countries will still be able to use the derogations for textiles and apparel provided under those RTAs.
 Examples of where the use of short-supply inputs is restricted under the TPP to certain products include: a) “Knit fleece fabric classified in subheading 6001.22, of 67- 73 percent acrylic and 27-33 percent viscose, weighing 200-280 g/m2 used in the production of sweaters, pullovers, sweatshirts and waistcoats and similar articles”; and b) “Fabrics of man-made fibres of Chapters 54 and 55 used to made the outer surface of insulated food or beverage bags classified in subheading 4202.92.”
 See Appendix 1 to Annex 3-D of the TPP. The full list of major components eligible under this TPP provision is: gasoline engines exceeding 250cc, diesel engines, chassis fitted with engines, bumpers and parts thereof, safety seat belts, brakes and servo-brakes and parts thereof, gear-boxes and parts thereof, drive-axles with differential and parts thereof, suspension systems and parts thereof, steering wheels, columns and boxes and parts thereof, and those parts classified under HS subheading 8708.29, which includes certain body stampings and door assemblies.
 The U.S. objective for pursuing tracing for automotive goods in the NAFTA negotiations was to eliminate the roll-up effect for such goods.
 For a fuller discussion and comparison of the NAFTA and TPP automotive rules of origin, see U.S. House of Representatives, Committee on Ways & Means, Minority Staff Report (2016). This Report states that “[i]ndustry advisors, however, indicate that USTR had informed them that the equivalent was perhaps as low as the mid-fifties, and more specifically it appears that USTR has indicated the number may be 53 percent.” (According to media reports, the Detroit-3 took the view that a 50 percent content threshold under the TPP was comparable to the 62.5 percent threshold under the NAFTA with tracing; see Inside U.S. Trade (2015).
 Manufactured goods classified in HS Chapters 84-86 and 88-96, excluding automotive parts included in those chapters such as motor vehicle engines classified in Chapter 84.
The TPP could simplify trade rules for goods producers in Canada
Montreal – In the midst of ongoing debates regarding Canada’s participation in the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a new chapter from the Institute for Research on Public Policy’s forthcoming trade volume looks at whether this trade deal might simplify the complex web of rules for goods trade among TPP countries.
In his chapter, Navigating the Maze: Canada, Rules of Origin and the Trans-Pacific Partnership, Sandy Moroz (former trade negotiator for Canada) examines the challenges of negotiating rules of origin — the rules that define how much production and component sourcing of a good must occur in a free trade area in order for the producer to benefit from tariff preferences. Finding agreement on these rules has always been important, but the stakes have become even higher due to the growth of global supply chains and the proliferation of overlapping trade deals.
There are now 32 free trade agreements among a subset of the 12 TPP signatories, each with its own set of rules. Canada’s rules for goods trade with the United States and Mexico are different from those with Chile and with Peru. The TPP could simplify the rules for goods producers. “A key benefit of an implemented TPP — something that has received little attention — is that this deal could allow Canada to use one set of rules when exporting to any of the other 11 TPP countries, including our NAFTA partners, as well as Japan, which would be the biggest new prize for Canadian exporters,” says Moroz.
Potential TPP impacts also need to be viewed in the proper context. Moroz cites as an example the controversial TPP negotiations on regional content rules in the automobile sector, which allow greater foreign content than existing NAFTA rules. In effect, the TPP rules allow Japanese car producers to maintain their existing Asian-based supply chains, something that has caused concern in North America, particularly for smaller parts producers.
According to Moroz, however, the central question facing the Canadian auto sector is not whether Canada should stay in the TPP if it is implemented; instead, it is where in North America will vehicles be assembled in the future? With the vehicle mandates for several Canadian-based assembly plants up for renewal, Moroz says that Canada’s ability to retain vehicle production and attract new investment depends mainly on general competitiveness factors (such as productivity, infrastructure, taxes, regulations and the medium-term outlook for the Canadian dollar), as well as on Canada’s policy response to incentives offered by governments elsewhere in the region. “Those factors likely will be much more important for future vehicle assembly and parts production in Canada than are the removal of tariffs on Japanese-made vehicles and less restrictive TPP rules of origin.” He points out that Canada’s auto sector would face increased international competition under the TPP; nonetheless, he concludes, participating in this ambitious multicountry trade deal ultimately offers auto producers more opportunities than remaining outside the deal.
Redesigning Canadian Trade Policies for New Global Realities, edited by Stephen Tapp, Ari Van Assche and Robert Wolfe, will be the sixth volume of The Art of the State. Thirty leading academics, government researchers, practitioners and stakeholders, from Canada and abroad, analyze how changes in global commerce, technology, and economic and geopolitical power are affecting Canada and its policies.
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